Korea was conquered by Japan in 1910 and occupied until 1945. After the United States and the Soviet Union defeated Japan in 1945, Korea was divided in half at the 38th parallel. The Soviet Union took the north and the United States took the south. Then..
Communist Kim ll-Sung led North Korea, with the help of Mao Zedong’s Communist China, and the covert help of Stalin the leader of Communist Russia. Syngman Rhee led South Korea with the help of the United States and twenty-one countries that comprised the United Nations forces. ” In 1950 Stalin gave Kim ll Sung permission to invade the south with the aim of unifying the Korean Peninsula under Communist rule and with the condition that Mao Zedong would agree to send reinforcements if needed.1 Kim met with Mao and once Mao’s commitment was secured, preparations for war were accelerated.2
In the years of fighting,” the United States Airforce dispatched a crack wing of F-86 Sabre Jet interceptors to Japan. These F-86s succeeded in allowing the Far East Air Forces to conduct air operations anywhere in North Korea. The result was to destroy all standing structures that might shield the Chinese from the cold. Cities and towns all over North Korea went up in flames.3
If we look at a Korean war time-line map it would appear like a boxing match where the winning opponent changed often. The result was a draw. After three years of bloody and frustrating war the United States, the Peoples Republic of China, North Korea and South Korea agree to an Armistice. A new border was drawn between North and South Korea, which gave South Korea some additional territory and created a demilitarized the zone between the two nations.4 In the end, many could not understand why the United States had not expanded the war into China or used its nuclear arsenal. Government officials were aware such actions would likely have prompted world war three.5
On August 10, 2017, the Chinese state-owned newspaper said that China will attack America if it attacks North Korea first and will only stay neutral if Kim attacks the United States first.6 Thanks, China! So much for our “good buddies” the Chinese. They devalue their currency against the dollar, and they have increased their standard of living by taking our jobs and giving us cheap prices at the cost of making our middle class almost a third world country. They do not want a democratic, free-market society on their border supported by the United States. They consider it a threat to their sovereignty. Forget China! North Korea provides a buffer zone and China, as in the past, will always have their back.
Russia continues to provide covert military and technical support. Their passive-aggressive assistance helps destabilize and weaken us as before. It’s the smart play. No United States president has ever been able to change this.
Scenario One: With enemies on all sides and his people living in poverty, Kim Jung Un knows, hands down, that with a nuclear powered North Korea he can bully the world to get the economic sanctions lifted and sit at the nuclear table with the United States, Russia, China, Pakistan, and India. Meanwhile, Trump can call him “rocket man” and a “sick puppy” and Kim will call Trump “that crazy old man”. It’s all bluster! And since we don’t live in a perfect world this is the most positive and probable scenario.
In the doomsday scenario, somebody would launch. South Korea and the United States would attack. China would come in to defend its old ally North Korea. Russia would stand down and wait to pick off the loser whoever it was. More than likely, both sides would have devastating casualties and would not welcome further conflict. Russia could then nibble away at the two wounded giants. The rest of the world would just watch. Nobody would have the stomach for what could happen next. And that’s why I have chosen the first scenario as the most likely outcome.
- “The Korean War a History” Random House Publishing. Weathersby 2002 p’10
- “Soviet involvement in the Korean War” A new view from the Soviet archives. Mark O’Neill, OATT Magazine of History. Spring 2000 p.21
- Encyclopedia Britannica. “The Korean War” article written by Allen R. Millett.
- A and E Networks: This day in history.com
- A and E Networks: This day in history.com
- Chinese state-owned newspaper. Article 8/10/17